Today's slate next to the best available price across books. The projected total is the book's posted total — our model does not move it, it decides how to split it between the two sides. The win probability is the de-vigged moneyline, effectively unchanged — a team-code mismatch means the intended 40% model nudge does not currently apply on NPB (measured: it moves the number by 0.0008 on average). Treat it as the market’s number, not ours. We do not publish an edge or an expected value against the price, because our own graded board is 55.0% on 1,721 decided picks across all 84 graded slates, short of the 57.7% a two-pick entry has to clear.